Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 2.809780 3.382840 4.025760 4.797906 5.697327 6.709087 7.930409
2025-05-18 1.887522 2.579363 3.441976 4.586106 6.051972 7.854131 10.222710
2025-05-25 1.323610 2.021392 2.974462 4.348814 6.252920 8.766893 12.299567
2025-06-01 1.018012 1.713011 2.739715 4.328238 6.675755 9.959322 14.825820
2025-06-08 0.815126 1.497249 2.577946 4.356354 7.134552 11.215291 17.538580
2025-06-15 0.656666 1.309936 2.414495 4.337657 7.496092 12.341383 20.148781
2025-06-22 0.504351 1.093972 2.158112 4.116982 7.494467 12.896634 21.930922
2025-06-29 0.414748 0.970631 2.034311 4.091056 7.790934 13.925449 24.515052
2025-07-06 0.343359 0.865104 1.921152 4.060568 8.065023 14.929465 27.129376
2025-07-13 0.315278 0.844392 1.965797 4.324981 8.883460 16.907031 31.498190
2025-07-20 0.279570 0.797601 1.948538 4.464263 9.482916 18.552273 35.424308
2025-07-27 0.254875 0.770941 1.968178 4.677520 10.239831 20.530768 40.065160
2025-08-03 0.215185 0.697808 1.875988 4.652291 10.544226 21.742762 43.493793
2025-08-10 0.172928 0.605615 1.722346 4.471315 10.515568 22.336281 45.857368
2025-08-17 0.136572 0.518327 1.561860 4.247551 10.367355 22.682248 47.781677
2025-08-24 0.116021 0.472267 1.495419 4.230240 10.652222 23.886941 51.403772
2025-08-31 0.100468 0.437314 1.451115 4.258779 11.038552 25.321234 55.564573
2025-09-07 0.085696 0.399901 1.392105 4.240787 11.315893 26.552308 59.407441
2025-09-14 0.067670 0.343309 1.264777 4.024575 11.106712 26.750326 61.194940
2025-09-21 0.057601 0.313778 1.212204 3.999199 11.346335 27.915740 65.023513
2025-09-28 0.048980 0.286677 1.161088 3.969327 11.570309 29.062079 68.885132
2025-10-05 0.047099 0.289211 1.208441 4.228535 12.544575 31.934104 76.548915
2025-10-12 0.043050 0.279962 1.213781 4.365090 13.218739 34.179287 83.007694